This week, it has been unofficially reported by statistician Paul Allen that Google+ may now have passed the 43 million user mark. Allen, the founder of Ancestry.com, uses a unique method of estimating the number of users currently within the Google+ ranks by analyzing uncommon user names.
In the past, Allen’s predictions have proved very accurate. He reports there were approximately 37.8 million users on Google+ as of this morning, up from 28.7 million just 13 days ago.
Allen’s Estimation Method
Allen has upped his estimates to 43 million to account for non-Roman surnames, as well as private user profiles, both of which are overlooked by his surname counting model. His method involves tracking the growth of a sample of uncommon surnames and extrapolating that data to estimate the total number of users. This approach has been particularly effective in capturing the rapid growth of Google+.
Here is a quick list of previous estimates by Allen:
- July 4th – 1.7 million users
- July 9th – 4.5 million users
- July 12 – 10 million users
- September 9th – 28.7 million users
- September 22nd – 43.4 million users
Implications for Social Media Landscape
The rapid growth of Google+ raises interesting questions about its potential impact on the social media landscape. With Facebook boasting around 800 million users, Google+ still has a long way to go to catch up. However, the speed at which Google+ is growing suggests that it could become a significant player in the social media space sooner than expected.
Google+ offers several unique features that differentiate it from Facebook, such as Circles, which allow users to organize their contacts into groups for more targeted sharing, and Hangouts, which enable group video chats. These features have been well-received and could contribute to the platform’s continued growth.
Moreover, Google’s integration of Google+ with its other services, such as Gmail and YouTube, provides a seamless user experience that could attract more users. The ability to share content across multiple platforms with ease is a significant advantage that Google+ holds over its competitors.
Another factor to consider is the demographic of Google+ users. Early adopters of the platform have tended to be tech-savvy individuals and professionals, which could influence the type of content shared and the overall user experience. As the platform continues to grow, it will be interesting to see how the user base evolves and whether it can attract a more diverse audience.
I wonder how long it will take Google+ to amass enough users to start concerning Facebook, which has around 800 million users. The competition between these two giants could lead to more innovation and better features for users, as each platform strives to outdo the other.
In conclusion, while Google+ still has a long way to go to catch up with Facebook, its rapid growth and unique features make it a platform to watch. Paul Allen’s estimates provide valuable insights into the platform’s growth trajectory, and it will be fascinating to see how Google+ evolves in the coming months and years.
Source: TNW : Paul Allen : PlusHeadlines
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